Forecasting the Results of Students Attending School in Vietnam by Geographical Area

Son Huynh  Van; Hong Nguyen Thi  Minh; Khuong Nguyen  Vinh; Loc Sam  Vinh; Vu Giang  Thien

doi:10.18488/journal.61.2019.73.274.285

Authors

Son Huynh Van Ho Chi Minh City University of Education, Vietnam https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3314-4329
Hong Nguyen Thi Minh Ho Chi Minh City University of Education, Vietnam https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3631-4936
Khuong Nguyen Vinh Science and technology Department, Ho Chi Minh City University of Education, Vietnam https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6802-4469
Loc Sam Vinh Faculty of Physical Education Department, Ho Chi Minh City University of Education, Vietnam https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1140-150X
Vu Giang Thien Faculty of Psychology Department, Ho Chi Minh City University of Education, Vietnam https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6536-0707

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18488/journal.61.2019.73.274.285

Abstract

This study attempts to forecast the results of school students in Vietnam by geographical region analysis. Results show variations between regions. In the Red River Delta region, it is forecast that in the decade 2015 to 2025, the number of children attending to school will increase slightly. In the Midlands and Northern Mountains region, the average number of children attending school should increase gradually by 2.4 percent over five years. In the North Central and Central Coast regions, student numbers have increased and decreased erratically. In the Central Highlands, there has been an average rate increase of 3.45 percent over five years. In the Southeast region, student numbers at all levels are expected to increase by an average of 3.9 per cent over five years. In the Mekong Delta region, student numbers are expected to increase by one percent over five years but experience a 1.8 percent reduction by 2035. These data will be critical to planning for the education sector in the coming decades.